March 17, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 127 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 239 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Joe Duffy earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 161 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 170 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Joe Duffy controlled the striking exchanges with 61 vs 34 total strikes, 51 vs 28 significant strikes, 31.7% vs 44.4% accuracy. Joe Duffy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:20 | 0:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 151 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Joe Duffy controlled Reza Madadi on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:20 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 255 | 315 |
| Activity ELO | 1 096 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Joe Duffy demonstrated standard activity with 255 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Joe Duffy capitalized on this activity level, while Reza Madadi's 315-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 075 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Joe Duffy extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Reza Madadi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Duffy | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.