October 17, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 27 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 26 | -26 |
| Experience ELO | 1 068 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Joe Lauzon's 26-fight experience advantage (27 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joe Lauzon for the expected result. Had Jonathan Pearce pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 029 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:33 | 1:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 235 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -22 |
Joe Lauzon earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:33, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 980 | 883 |
| ELO Change | +117 | -117 |
Joe Lauzon controlled the striking exchanges with 28 vs 8 total strikes, 25 vs 8 significant strikes, 69.4% vs 42.1% accuracy. Joe Lauzon capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:42 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 106 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Joe Lauzon controlled Jonathan Pearce on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:42 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 559 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 164 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -12 |
Joe Lauzon demonstrated extended layoff with 559 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Joe Lauzon capitalized on this activity level, while Jonathan Pearce's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 062 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Joe Lauzon started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jonathan Pearce is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Jonathan Pearce |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 029 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.