April 1, 2008
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 121 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Kenny Florian's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kenny Florian for the expected result. Had Joe Lauzon pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 049 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:28 | 3:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 215 | 1 337 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +88 |
Kenny Florian gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 74 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 115 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 168 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | -132 | +132 |
Kenny Florian dominated the striking exchanges with 115 vs 9 total strikes, 35 vs 5 significant strikes. Kenny Florian capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:51 | 3:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 29 |
| Ground ELO | 1 197 | 1 402 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Kenny Florian controlled Joe Lauzon on the ground with 2 takedowns, 3:44 of control time, 29 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 137 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 074 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +17 |
Kenny Florian demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kenny Florian capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Lauzon's 137-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +27 |
Kenny Florian extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Lauzon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.