September 16, 2008
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 139 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Joe Lauzon's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joe Lauzon for the expected result. Had Kyle Bradley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 066 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:34 | 1:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 248 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -16 |
Joe Lauzon gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 182 | 798 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Joe Lauzon slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 23 vs 18 significant strikes. Joe Lauzon capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:37 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 220 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Joe Lauzon controlled Kyle Bradley on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:37 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 228 |
| Activity ELO | 1 101 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -15 |
Joe Lauzon demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joe Lauzon capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Bradley's 228-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 078 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -16 |
Joe Lauzon started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Bradley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Kyle Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.