Joe Lauzon vs Melvin Guillard

October 7, 2011

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1201
(+46)
Joe Lauzon
Winner: Joe Lauzon
Submission
Round 1 • 0:47

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Joe Lauzon+46
Melvin Guillard-31
1189
(-31)
Melvin Guillard

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Lauzon: +46Melvin Guillard: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe LauzonMelvin Guillard
Total UFC Fights1115
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO1 1781 148
ELO Change+46-36
💡

What Happened

Joe Lauzon overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Melvin Guillard.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Lauzon: +23Melvin Guillard: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe LauzonMelvin Guillard
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0971 089
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Lauzon: +113Melvin Guillard: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe LauzonMelvin Guillard
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:470:47
Win Type ELO1 3711 295
ELO Change+113-53
💡

What Happened

Joe Lauzon locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:47 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Lauzon: +35Melvin Guillard: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe LauzonMelvin Guillard
Significant Strikes Landed23
Significant Strikes Attempted66
Total Strikes Landed23
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2351 443
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Melvin Guillard controlled the striking through superior accuracy (50.0% vs 33.3%). However, since Melvin Guillard lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Joe Lauzon's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Lauzon: +26Melvin Guillard: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe LauzonMelvin Guillard
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:190:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 3021 100
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Lauzon: +68Melvin Guillard: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe LauzonMelvin Guillard
Days Since Last Fight10498
Activity ELO1 2051 219
ELO Change+68-27
💡

What Happened

Joe Lauzon demonstrated solid activity levels with 104 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joe Lauzon capitalized on this activity level, while Melvin Guillard's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Lauzon: +30Melvin Guillard: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe LauzonMelvin Guillard
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1231 132
ELO Change+30-25
💡

What Happened

Joe Lauzon extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Melvin Guillard is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Lauzon: +23Melvin Guillard: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe LauzonMelvin Guillard
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0951 089
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.