August 16, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 098 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +58 |
Michael Johnson overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joe Lauzon.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 235 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Michael Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 116 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 109 | 255 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 119 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 893 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -108 | +108 |
Michael Johnson dominated the striking exchanges with 119 vs 28 total strikes, 116 vs 25 significant strikes, 45.5% vs 22.9% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Michael Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 1:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 117 | 954 |
| ELO Change | -121 | +121 |
Michael Johnson landed 2 knockdowns followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 158 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +53 |
Michael Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michael Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Lauzon's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 072 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +28 |
Michael Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Lauzon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.