January 1, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 117 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 058 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 225 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Sam Stout earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 94 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 264 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 110 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 123 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Sam Stout dominated the striking exchanges with 110 vs 33 total strikes, 94 vs 26 significant strikes. Sam Stout capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 16 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:39 | 2:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 222 | 958 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Sam Stout did not secure a significant ground advantage against Joe Lauzon on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:25 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 329 | 260 |
| Activity ELO | 1 115 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +35 |
Sam Stout demonstrated standard activity with 260 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sam Stout capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Lauzon's 329-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +32 |
Sam Stout extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Lauzon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 055 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.