April 21, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 18 | -18 |
| Experience ELO | 1 104 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +72 |
Stevie Ray overcame a 18-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joe Lauzon.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 054 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 310 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Stevie Ray earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 109 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 196 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 139 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 105 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Stevie Ray dominated the striking exchanges with 139 vs 65 total strikes, 109 vs 46 significant strikes. Stevie Ray capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:11 | 0:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 24 |
| Ground ELO | 1 173 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Stevie Ray did not secure a significant ground advantage against Joe Lauzon on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:35 of control time, 24 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 97 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 208 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +36 |
Stevie Ray demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stevie Ray capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Lauzon's 97-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 089 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Stevie Ray extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Lauzon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 054 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.