July 24, 2015
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 140 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Joe Lauzon's 9-fight experience advantage (19 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joe Lauzon for the expected result. Had Takanori Gomi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:37 | 2:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 309 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -32 |
Joe Lauzon earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 039 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +110 | -110 |
Joe Lauzon edged the striking exchanges with 15 vs 7 significant strikes, 57.7% vs 29.2% accuracy. Joe Lauzon capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:07 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 199 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Joe Lauzon controlled Takanori Gomi on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:07 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 308 |
| Activity ELO | 1 212 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -15 |
Joe Lauzon demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joe Lauzon capitalized on this activity level, while Takanori Gomi's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 109 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Joe Lauzon started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Takanori Gomi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Lauzon | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 077 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.