June 5, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 055 | 886 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 035 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:58 | 4:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 157 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -30 |
Joe Proctor earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:58, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Justin Edwards was submitted.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 175 | 171 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 033 | 817 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Joe Proctor slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Joe Proctor capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 2:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 967 | 836 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Joe Proctor edged out Justin Edwards on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:28 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 507 |
| Activity ELO | 1 068 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -19 |
Joe Proctor demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joe Proctor capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Edwards's 507-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 044 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -18 |
Joe Proctor started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Edwards is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 035 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.