December 11, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Magomed Mustafaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 026 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +39 |
Magomed Mustafaev overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joe Proctor.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Magomed Mustafaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 013 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Magomed Mustafaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:54 | 1:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 101 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +135 |
Magomed Mustafaev earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Magomed Mustafaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 925 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -108 | +108 |
Magomed Mustafaev controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 9 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Magomed Mustafaev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Magomed Mustafaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 924 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Magomed Mustafaev landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Magomed Mustafaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 044 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +41 |
Magomed Mustafaev demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Magomed Mustafaev capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Proctor's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Magomed Mustafaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Magomed Mustafaev extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Proctor is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Proctor | Magomed Mustafaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 013 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.