February 3, 2006
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 055 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -35 |
Joe Riggs overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nick Diaz.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 035 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 119 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Joe Riggs earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 116 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 126 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 102 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Nick Diaz controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (126 vs 69 total strikes), significant strike advantage (38 vs 51), 1 knockdown. However, since Nick Diaz lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Joe Riggs's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:05 | 3:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 079 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Joe Riggs edged out Nick Diaz on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:05 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 101 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -24 |
Joe Riggs demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Joe Riggs capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Diaz's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 038 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Joe Riggs started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Diaz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 029 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.