April 24, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 986 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +32 |
Patrick Cote's 7-fight experience advantage (17 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Patrick Cote for the expected result. Had Joe Riggs pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 054 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Patrick Cote earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 110 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 968 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Patrick Cote dominated the striking exchanges with 110 vs 47 total strikes, 43.8% vs 60.0% accuracy. Patrick Cote capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:20 | 6:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 952 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Patrick Cote controlled Joe Riggs on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 6:22 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Patrick Cote demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Patrick Cote capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Riggs's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Patrick Cote started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Riggs is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 973 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.