September 4, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Ron Stallings |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 019 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Joe Riggs's 8-fight experience advantage (11 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joe Riggs for the expected result. Had Ron Stallings pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Ron Stallings |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Ron Stallings |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | DQ | DQ |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:28 | 2:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 064 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The fight concluded with Joe Riggs earning a DQ, with adjustments based on the nature of the result.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Ron Stallings |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 031 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Joe Riggs controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 24 significant strikes, 57.4% vs 66.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Joe Riggs capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Ron Stallings |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:59 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 022 | 895 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Joe Riggs controlled Ron Stallings on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:59 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Ron Stallings |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 109 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -19 |
Joe Riggs demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joe Riggs capitalized on this activity level, while Ron Stallings's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Ron Stallings |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 012 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Joe Riggs started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ron Stallings is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Riggs | Ron Stallings |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 996 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.