November 4, 2016
Catch Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Soto | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 022 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 996 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:37 | 1:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 123 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +102 | -53 |
Joe Soto earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 847 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Joe Soto slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 100.0% vs 37.5% accuracy. Joe Soto capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:26 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 126 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 122 |
| Activity ELO | 1 045 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -25 |
Joe Soto demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joe Soto capitalized on this activity level, while Marco Beltran's 122-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -27 |
Joe Soto extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marco Beltran is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 995 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.