January 1, 2016
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Soto | Michinori Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 943 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Michinori Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 946 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Michinori Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 937 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Michinori Tanaka receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Michinori Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 111 | 190 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 777 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
Joe Soto controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (98 vs 68 total strikes), significant strike advantage (71 vs 57), superior accuracy (64.0% vs 30.0%). However, since Joe Soto lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Michinori Tanaka's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Michinori Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:14 | 5:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 893 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Michinori Tanaka controlled Joe Soto on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 5:06 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Michinori Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 470 |
| Activity ELO | 951 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +17 |
Michinori Tanaka demonstrated extended layoff with 470 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Michinori Tanaka capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Soto's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Michinori Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 946 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Michinori Tanaka started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Soto is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Soto | Michinori Tanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 944 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.