Joe Stevenson vs Josh Neer

April 5, 2006

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

994
(-37)
Joe Stevenson
Winner: Josh Neer
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Joe Stevenson-37
Josh Neer+42
1044
(+42)
Josh Neer

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Stevenson: -33Josh Neer: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe StevensonJosh Neer
Total UFC Fights23
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO9881 035
ELO Change-33+33
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Stevenson: -22Josh Neer: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe StevensonJosh Neer
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9991 024
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Stevenson: -42Josh Neer: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe StevensonJosh Neer
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0001 080
ELO Change-42+42
💡

What Happened

Josh Neer earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Stevenson: -70Josh Neer: +70

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe StevensonJosh Neer
Significant Strikes Landed3146
Significant Strikes Attempted56126
Total Strikes Landed8068
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9511 019
ELO Change-70+70
💡

What Happened

Josh Neer controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 31 significant strikes, 36.5% vs 55.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Josh Neer capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Stevenson: -63Josh Neer: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe StevensonJosh Neer
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time2:447:56
Ground Strikes Landed833
Ground ELO1 0141 060
ELO Change-63+63
💡

What Happened

Josh Neer edged out Joe Stevenson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 7:56 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Stevenson: -21Josh Neer: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe StevensonJosh Neer
Days Since Last Fight15280
Activity ELO1 0001 082
ELO Change-21+63
💡

What Happened

Josh Neer demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 80 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Josh Neer capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Stevenson's 152-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Stevenson: -22Josh Neer: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe StevensonJosh Neer
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0011 031
ELO Change-22+27
💡

What Happened

Josh Neer extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Stevenson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Joe Stevenson: -22Josh Neer: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricJoe StevensonJosh Neer
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9991 024
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.