April 5, 2006
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 000 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Josh Neer earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 126 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 951 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Josh Neer controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 31 significant strikes, 36.5% vs 55.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Josh Neer capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:44 | 7:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 33 |
| Ground ELO | 1 014 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Josh Neer edged out Joe Stevenson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 7:56 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 152 | 80 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +63 |
Josh Neer demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 80 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Josh Neer capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Stevenson's 152-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Josh Neer extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Stevenson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

