November 4, 2005
Ultimate Fighter 2 Welterweight Tournament Title Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Joe Stevenson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Luke Cummo lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Joe Stevenson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:43 | 2:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 077 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Joe Stevenson controlled Luke Cummo on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 9:43 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Joe Stevenson demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Joe Stevenson capitalized on this activity level, while Luke Cummo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Joe Stevenson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luke Cummo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.