December 10, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 057 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +60 |
Mac Danzig overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joe Stevenson.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:54 | 1:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 212 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +166 |
Mac Danzig earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 045 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -128 | +128 |
Mac Danzig controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mac Danzig capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 161 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 194 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +40 |
Mac Danzig demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mac Danzig capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Stevenson's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +30 |
Mac Danzig started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Stevenson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.