October 23, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 134 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (12 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 092 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:03 | 4:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 334 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -41 |
Joe Stevenson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 233 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Joe Stevenson controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 20 total strikes, 28 vs 14 significant strikes, 52.8% vs 31.8% accuracy. Joe Stevenson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:39 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 24 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 326 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Joe Stevenson controlled Spencer Fisher on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:39 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 254 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -19 |
Joe Stevenson demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joe Stevenson capitalized on this activity level, while Spencer Fisher's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 122 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Joe Stevenson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Spencer Fisher is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joe Stevenson | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 089 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.