July 21, 2023
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joel Alvarez | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 153 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -24 |
Joel Alvarez overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marc Diakiese.
| Metric | Joel Alvarez | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joel Alvarez | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:26 | 4:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 285 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -27 |
Joel Alvarez earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:26, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Marc Diakiese was submitted.
| Metric | Joel Alvarez | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 144 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Joel Alvarez controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 29 total strikes, 42 vs 20 significant strikes, 56.0% vs 43.5% accuracy. Joel Alvarez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joel Alvarez | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:26 | 3:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 144 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Joel Alvarez controlled Marc Diakiese on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:26 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Joel Alvarez | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 511 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 121 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -22 |
Joel Alvarez demonstrated extended layoff with 511 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Joel Alvarez capitalized on this activity level, while Marc Diakiese's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joel Alvarez | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 087 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Joel Alvarez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marc Diakiese is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joel Alvarez | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.