January 21, 2011
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 996 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 996 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 045 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Pat Barry earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 177 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 014 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Joey Beltran controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (104 vs 58 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (55 vs 46), superior accuracy (31.1% vs 51.1%). However, since Joey Beltran lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Pat Barry's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:22 | 0:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 954 | 968 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Pat Barry landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Pat Barry demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Pat Barry capitalized on this activity level, while Joey Beltran's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Pat Barry started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joey Beltran is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 996 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.