October 7, 2011
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 949 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Stipe Miocic overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joey Beltran.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 995 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 062 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Stipe Miocic earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 152 | 142 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 103 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 037 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Stipe Miocic controlled the striking exchanges with 103 vs 80 total strikes, 68 vs 52 significant strikes, 47.9% vs 34.2% accuracy. Stipe Miocic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:56 | 6:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 963 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Stipe Miocic controlled Joey Beltran on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 6:05 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 037 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Stipe Miocic demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Stipe Miocic capitalized on this activity level, while Joey Beltran's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Stipe Miocic started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joey Beltran is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joey Beltran | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 995 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

