March 4, 1999
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joey Roberts | Sione Latu |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joey Roberts | Sione Latu |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joey Roberts | Sione Latu |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 10:01 | 10:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Sione Latu earned an early finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 1 at 10:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Joey Roberts | Sione Latu |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Joey Roberts controlled the striking through superior volume (33 vs 14 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (17 vs 9). However, since Joey Roberts lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sione Latu's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Joey Roberts | Sione Latu |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 973 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Sione Latu did not secure a significant ground advantage against Joey Roberts on the ground with 1 takedown, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Joey Roberts | Sione Latu |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Sione Latu demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Sione Latu capitalized on this activity level, while Joey Roberts's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joey Roberts | Sione Latu |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Sione Latu started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joey Roberts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joey Roberts | Sione Latu |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.