June 8, 2000
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Alessio | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Pat Miletich's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pat Miletich for the expected result. Had John Alessio pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | John Alessio | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 989 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +33 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Pat Miletich captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | John Alessio | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:43 | 1:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 974 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +40 |
Pat Miletich earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:43, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. John Alessio was submitted.
| Metric | John Alessio | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 955 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Pat Miletich controlled the striking exchanges with 44 vs 9 total strikes, 9 vs 1 significant strikes. Pat Miletich capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Alessio | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 5:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 925 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Pat Miletich dominated John Alessio on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:03 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | John Alessio | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 329 |
| Activity ELO | 993 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
Pat Miletich demonstrated standard activity with 329 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Pat Miletich capitalized on this activity level, while John Alessio's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Alessio | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +33 |
Pat Miletich continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. John Alessio's now at 0.
| Metric | John Alessio | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.