July 6, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Alessio | Shane Roller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 893 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | John Alessio | Shane Roller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 919 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Alessio | Shane Roller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 884 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Shane Roller earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | John Alessio | Shane Roller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 103 | 69 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 851 | 980 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Shane Roller edged the striking exchanges with 44.9% vs 34.0% accuracy. Shane Roller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Alessio | Shane Roller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:06 | 7:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 785 | 918 |
| ELO Change | -97 | +97 |
Shane Roller controlled John Alessio on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:59 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Alessio | Shane Roller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 933 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +34 |
Shane Roller demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Shane Roller capitalized on this activity level, while John Alessio's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Alessio | Shane Roller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 918 | 990 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Shane Roller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Alessio is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Alessio | Shane Roller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 916 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.