December 4, 2020
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Allan | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 982 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | John Allan | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Allan | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 992 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Roman Dolidze receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | John Allan | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 109 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 118 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 970 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Roman Dolidze dominated the striking exchanges with 118 vs 48 total strikes, 51 vs 29 significant strikes, 46.8% vs 33.7% accuracy. Roman Dolidze capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Allan | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 7:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 923 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Roman Dolidze dominated John Allan on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 7:16 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Allan | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 512 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
Roman Dolidze demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Roman Dolidze capitalized on this activity level, while John Allan's 512-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Allan | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Roman Dolidze extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Allan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Allan | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

