February 4, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Castaneda | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 088 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -36 |
John Castaneda overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Miles Johns.
| Metric | John Castaneda | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 027 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Castaneda | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:38 | 1:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 176 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -45 |
John Castaneda earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:38, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Miles Johns was submitted.
| Metric | John Castaneda | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 147 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 191 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
John Castaneda controlled the striking exchanges with 68 vs 34 total strikes, 58 vs 34 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. John Castaneda capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Castaneda | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:45 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 142 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +121 | -121 |
John Castaneda dominated Miles Johns on the ground with 1:45 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | John Castaneda | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 350 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 040 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
John Castaneda demonstrated standard activity with 350 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, John Castaneda capitalized on this activity level, while Miles Johns's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Castaneda | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 036 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
John Castaneda extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Miles Johns is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Castaneda | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 027 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.