John Castaneda vs Nathaniel Wood

July 24, 2020

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

980
(-20)
John Castaneda
Winner: Nathaniel Wood
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

John Castaneda-20
Nathaniel Wood+22
1125
(+22)
Nathaniel Wood

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
John Castaneda: -21Nathaniel Wood: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CastanedaNathaniel Wood
Total UFC Fights15
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9791 138
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

Nathaniel Wood's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nathaniel Wood for the expected result. Had John Castaneda pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
John Castaneda: -18Nathaniel Wood: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CastanedaNathaniel Wood
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9821 060
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
John Castaneda: -24Nathaniel Wood: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CastanedaNathaniel Wood
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9761 187
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

Nathaniel Wood earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
John Castaneda: -32Nathaniel Wood: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CastanedaNathaniel Wood
Significant Strikes Landed55131
Significant Strikes Attempted130232
Total Strikes Landed66136
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9681 124
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Nathaniel Wood dominated the striking exchanges with 136 vs 66 total strikes, 131 vs 55 significant strikes, 56.5% vs 42.3% accuracy. Nathaniel Wood capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
John Castaneda: -13Nathaniel Wood: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CastanedaNathaniel Wood
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time0:110:49
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9871 227
ELO Change-13+13
💡

What Happened

Nathaniel Wood did not secure a significant ground advantage against John Castaneda on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:49 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
John Castaneda: -15Nathaniel Wood: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CastanedaNathaniel Wood
Days Since Last FightN/A161
Activity ELO9851 124
ELO Change-15+27
💡

What Happened

Nathaniel Wood demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nathaniel Wood capitalized on this activity level, while John Castaneda's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
John Castaneda: -17Nathaniel Wood: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CastanedaNathaniel Wood
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9831 078
ELO Change-17+19
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What Happened

Nathaniel Wood started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Castaneda is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
John Castaneda: -18Nathaniel Wood: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CastanedaNathaniel Wood
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9821 060
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.