John Cofer vs Justin Lawrence

May 31, 2012

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

962
(-38)
John Cofer
Winner: Justin Lawrence
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 0:19

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

John Cofer-38
Justin Lawrence+43
1043
(+43)
Justin Lawrence

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
John Cofer: -21Justin Lawrence: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CoferJustin Lawrence
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
John Cofer: -21Justin Lawrence: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CoferJustin Lawrence
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
John Cofer: -42Justin Lawrence: +84

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CoferJustin Lawrence
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish0:190:19
Win Type ELO9581 084
ELO Change-42+84
💡

What Happened

Justin Lawrence gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
John Cofer: -95Justin Lawrence: +95

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CoferJustin Lawrence
Significant Strikes Landed3654
Significant Strikes Attempted101155
Total Strikes Landed3959
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9051 095
ELO Change-95+95
💡

What Happened

Justin Lawrence controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 39 total strikes, 54 vs 36 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Justin Lawrence capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
John Cofer: -59Justin Lawrence: +59

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CoferJustin Lawrence
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted43
Ground Control Time0:520:53
Ground Strikes Landed03
Ground ELO9411 059
ELO Change-59+59
💡

What Happened

Justin Lawrence landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
John Cofer: -21Justin Lawrence: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CoferJustin Lawrence
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Justin Lawrence demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Justin Lawrence capitalized on this activity level, while John Cofer's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
John Cofer: -21Justin Lawrence: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CoferJustin Lawrence
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Justin Lawrence started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Cofer is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
John Cofer: -21Justin Lawrence: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn CoferJustin Lawrence
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.