John Dodson vs John Lineker

September 30, 2016

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1165
(-18)
John Dodson
Winner: John Lineker
Decision - Split
Round 5 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

John Dodson-18
John Lineker+25
1266
(+25)
John Lineker

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
John Dodson: -28John Lineker: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn DodsonJohn Lineker
Total UFC Fights1012
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 1201 218
ELO Change-28+28
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What Happened

John Lineker's 2-fight experience advantage (12 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Lineker for the expected result. Had John Dodson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
John Dodson: -20John Lineker: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn DodsonJohn Lineker
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0861 148
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
John Dodson: -8John Lineker: +8

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn DodsonJohn Lineker
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round55
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2911 395
ELO Change-8+8
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with John Lineker receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
John Dodson: -15John Lineker: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn DodsonJohn Lineker
Significant Strikes Landed10193
Significant Strikes Attempted191322
Total Strikes Landed10194
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3181 444
ELO Change-15+15
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What Happened

John Dodson controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (101 vs 93), superior accuracy (52.9% vs 28.9%). However, since John Dodson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. John Lineker's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
John Dodson: -19John Lineker: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn DodsonJohn Lineker
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted60
Ground Control Time0:230:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1921 264
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
John Dodson: -15John Lineker: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn DodsonJohn Lineker
Days Since Last Fight16880
Activity ELO1 1321 292
ELO Change-15+45
💡

What Happened

John Lineker demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 80 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, John Lineker capitalized on this activity level, while John Dodson's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
John Dodson: -18John Lineker: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn DodsonJohn Lineker
Win Streak06
Win Streak ELO1 1061 218
ELO Change-18+43
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What Happened

John Lineker continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. John Dodson's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
John Dodson: -19John Lineker: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn DodsonJohn Lineker
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0781 147
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.