June 6, 2014
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Dodson | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 106 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | John Dodson | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 080 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Dodson | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 210 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
John Dodson gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | John Dodson | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 310 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
John Dodson controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 8 total strikes, 27 vs 8 significant strikes, 42.9% vs 14.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. John Dodson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Dodson | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:53 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 141 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
John Dodson landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | John Dodson | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 143 |
| Activity ELO | 1 116 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
John Dodson demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, John Dodson capitalized on this activity level, while John Moraga's 143-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Dodson | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 094 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
John Dodson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Moraga is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Dodson | John Moraga |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.