November 10, 2017
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Dodson | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 102 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +76 |
Marlon Moraes overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran John Dodson.
| Metric | John Dodson | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 075 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Dodson | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 306 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Marlon Moraes receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | John Dodson | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 105 | 131 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 307 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
John Dodson controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since John Dodson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marlon Moraes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | John Dodson | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:27 | 1:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 164 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Marlon Moraes did not secure a significant ground advantage against John Dodson on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:05 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | John Dodson | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 126 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +53 |
Marlon Moraes demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marlon Moraes capitalized on this activity level, while John Dodson's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Dodson | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 096 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +32 |
Marlon Moraes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Dodson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Dodson | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 069 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.