February 14, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Dodson | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 117 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
John Dodson's 12-fight experience advantage (16 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Dodson for the expected result. Had Nathaniel Wood pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | John Dodson | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 074 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Dodson | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:16 | 0:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 296 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -41 |
John Dodson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | John Dodson | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 289 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Nathaniel Wood controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (46 vs 39). However, since Nathaniel Wood lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. John Dodson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | John Dodson | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:59 | 0:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 168 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
John Dodson landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | John Dodson | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 357 | 336 |
| Activity ELO | 1 158 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
John Dodson demonstrated standard activity with 357 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, John Dodson capitalized on this activity level, while Nathaniel Wood's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Dodson | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 098 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
John Dodson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nathaniel Wood is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Dodson | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.