March 2, 2018
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Dodson | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 135 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
John Dodson's 4-fight experience advantage (13 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Dodson for the expected result. Had Pedro Munhoz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | John Dodson | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 096 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Dodson | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 316 | 1 290 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with John Dodson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | John Dodson | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 184 | 172 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 320 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
John Dodson slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 76 vs 69 significant strikes. John Dodson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Dodson | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 191 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
John Dodson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Pedro Munhoz on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | John Dodson | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 181 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -22 |
John Dodson demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, John Dodson capitalized on this activity level, while Pedro Munhoz's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Dodson | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 119 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
John Dodson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pedro Munhoz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Dodson | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 090 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.