May 22, 2015
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Dodson | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 136 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
John Dodson's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Dodson for the expected result. Had Zach Makovsky pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | John Dodson | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 098 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Dodson | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 237 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
John Dodson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | John Dodson | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 318 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
Zach Makovsky controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (37 vs 31), superior accuracy (43.5% vs 31.6%). However, since Zach Makovsky lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. John Dodson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | John Dodson | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 17 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:38 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 178 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
John Dodson edged out Zach Makovsky on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:38 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Dodson | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 350 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 135 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
John Dodson demonstrated standard activity with 350 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, John Dodson capitalized on this activity level, while Zach Makovsky's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Dodson | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 118 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -18 |
John Dodson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zach Makovsky is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Dodson | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 097 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.