February 29, 2008
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Halverson | Jorge Gurgel |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 941 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Jorge Gurgel's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jorge Gurgel for the expected result. Had John Halverson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | John Halverson | Jorge Gurgel |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Halverson | Jorge Gurgel |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 922 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Jorge Gurgel earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | John Halverson | Jorge Gurgel |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 137 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 118 | 118 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 865 | 951 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Jorge Gurgel controlled the striking exchanges with 68 vs 44 significant strikes. Jorge Gurgel capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Halverson | Jorge Gurgel |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:01 | 8:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 33 |
| Ground ELO | 884 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Jorge Gurgel controlled John Halverson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 8:41 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Halverson | Jorge Gurgel |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 392 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 962 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +35 |
Jorge Gurgel demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jorge Gurgel capitalized on this activity level, while John Halverson's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Halverson | Jorge Gurgel |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Jorge Gurgel started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Halverson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Halverson | Jorge Gurgel |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.