May 4, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Hathaway | Pascal Krauss |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 156 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
John Hathaway's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Hathaway for the expected result. Had Pascal Krauss pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Pascal Krauss |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 092 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Pascal Krauss |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 189 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
John Hathaway earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Pascal Krauss |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 68 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 154 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 123 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 311 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
John Hathaway dominated the striking exchanges with 123 vs 48 total strikes, 68 vs 33 significant strikes, 44.2% vs 34.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. John Hathaway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Pascal Krauss |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:59 | 1:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 181 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
John Hathaway landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Pascal Krauss |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 406 | 539 |
| Activity ELO | 1 143 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -15 |
John Hathaway demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, John Hathaway capitalized on this activity level, while Pascal Krauss's 539-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Pascal Krauss |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 118 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -17 |
John Hathaway extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pascal Krauss is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Pascal Krauss |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 092 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.