June 12, 2009
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Hathaway | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
John Hathaway earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 102 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 140 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
John Hathaway dominated the striking exchanges with 102 vs 47 total strikes, 31 vs 21 significant strikes. John Hathaway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:50 | 4:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
John Hathaway edged out Rick Story on the ground with 4 takedowns, 6:50 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
John Hathaway demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, John Hathaway capitalized on this activity level, while Rick Story's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
John Hathaway extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rick Story is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Hathaway | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.