John Howard vs Matt Brown

June 25, 2011

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1028
(-35)
John Howard
Winner: Matt Brown
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

John Howard-35
Matt Brown+35
1048
(+35)
Matt Brown

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
John Howard: -38Matt Brown: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn HowardMatt Brown
Total UFC Fights79
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0461 055
ELO Change-38+38
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Brown for the expected result. Had John Howard pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
John Howard: -24Matt Brown: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn HowardMatt Brown
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0101 016
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
John Howard: -43Matt Brown: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn HowardMatt Brown
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0801 159
ELO Change-43+43
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What Happened

Matt Brown earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
John Howard: -43Matt Brown: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn HowardMatt Brown
Significant Strikes Landed2038
Significant Strikes Attempted3583
Total Strikes Landed2996
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0381 151
ELO Change-43+43
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown dominated the striking exchanges with 96 vs 29 total strikes, 38 vs 20 significant strikes, 45.8% vs 57.1% accuracy. Matt Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
John Howard: -61Matt Brown: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn HowardMatt Brown
Takedowns Landed53
Takedowns Attempted114
Ground Control Time6:403:34
Ground Strikes Landed23
Ground ELO940873
ELO Change-61+61
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown edged out John Howard on the ground with 3 takedowns, 3:34 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
John Howard: -23Matt Brown: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn HowardMatt Brown
Days Since Last Fight197218
Activity ELO1 0671 086
ELO Change-23+29
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Matt Brown capitalized on this activity level, while John Howard's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
John Howard: -24Matt Brown: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn HowardMatt Brown
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0321 032
ELO Change-24+26
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What Happened

Matt Brown started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Howard is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
John Howard: -23Matt Brown: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn HowardMatt Brown
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0101 015
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.