December 27, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Howard | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 103 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
John Howard's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Howard for the expected result. Had Siyar Bahadurzada pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | John Howard | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 049 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Howard | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 135 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
John Howard earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | John Howard | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 89 | 120 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 112 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 091 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
John Howard edged the striking exchanges with 112 vs 83 total strikes, 52.8% vs 36.7% accuracy. John Howard capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Howard | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:51 | 1:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 910 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
John Howard controlled Siyar Bahadurzada on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 5:51 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Howard | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 301 |
| Activity ELO | 1 115 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -17 |
John Howard demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, John Howard capitalized on this activity level, while Siyar Bahadurzada's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Howard | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -19 |
John Howard extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Siyar Bahadurzada is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Howard | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.