August 7, 2009
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Howard | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 108 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -29 |
John Howard overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tamdan McCrory.
| Metric | John Howard | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Howard | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 025 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with John Howard receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | John Howard | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 072 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
John Howard edged the striking exchanges with 19 vs 11 significant strikes, 51.4% vs 23.9% accuracy. John Howard capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Howard | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:27 | 3:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 147 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
John Howard controlled Tamdan McCrory on the ground with 5 vs 2 takedowns, 8:27 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Howard | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 052 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
John Howard demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, John Howard capitalized on this activity level, while Tamdan McCrory's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Howard | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
John Howard extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tamdan McCrory is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Howard | Tamdan McCrory |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.