December 9, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Howard | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 019 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +38 |
Tim Means overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran John Howard.
| Metric | John Howard | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 993 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Howard | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:21 | 0:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 016 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +53 |
Tim Means gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | John Howard | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 899 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Tim Means controlled the striking exchanges with 43 vs 22 total strikes, 37 vs 20 significant strikes, 52.9% vs 37.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tim Means capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Howard | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 988 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Tim Means landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | John Howard | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 153 | 153 |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +25 |
Tim Means demonstrated solid activity levels with 153 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Means capitalized on this activity level, while John Howard's 153-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Howard | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 018 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Tim Means started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Howard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Howard | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 993 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.