August 16, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Howard | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 071 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
John Howard's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Howard for the expected result. Had Uriah Hall pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | John Howard | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 029 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Howard | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 088 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with John Howard receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | John Howard | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 62 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 92 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 061 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
John Howard controlled the striking exchanges with 92 vs 59 total strikes, 33 vs 41 significant strikes, 54.1% vs 66.1% accuracy. John Howard capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Howard | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:47 | 4:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 975 | 915 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
John Howard edged out Uriah Hall on the ground with 2 takedowns, 3:47 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Howard | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 783 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 081 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -16 |
John Howard demonstrated extended layoff with 783 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, John Howard capitalized on this activity level, while Uriah Hall's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Howard | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
John Howard started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Uriah Hall is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Howard | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 029 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

