May 4, 2012
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Lineker | Louis Gaudinot |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | John Lineker | Louis Gaudinot |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Lineker | Louis Gaudinot |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:54 | 4:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +73 |
Louis Gaudinot earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:54, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. John Lineker was submitted.
| Metric | John Lineker | Louis Gaudinot |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 96 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 212 | 132 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 94 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 971 | 880 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
John Lineker controlled the striking through superior volume (121 vs 94 total strikes), significant strike advantage (96 vs 65). However, since John Lineker lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Louis Gaudinot's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | John Lineker | Louis Gaudinot |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:14 | 3:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 848 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -152 | +152 |
Louis Gaudinot dominated John Lineker on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:44 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | John Lineker | Louis Gaudinot |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +39 |
Louis Gaudinot demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Louis Gaudinot capitalized on this activity level, while John Lineker's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Lineker | Louis Gaudinot |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Louis Gaudinot started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Lineker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Lineker | Louis Gaudinot |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.