October 27, 2017
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Lineker | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 218 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
John Lineker's 7-fight experience advantage (14 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Lineker for the expected result. Had Marlon Vera pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | John Lineker | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 148 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Lineker | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 385 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
John Lineker earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | John Lineker | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 77 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 171 | 117 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 411 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
John Lineker controlled the striking exchanges with 93 vs 50 total strikes, 77 vs 49 significant strikes. John Lineker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Lineker | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:35 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 238 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
John Lineker controlled Marlon Vera on the ground with 1:35 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Lineker | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 302 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 282 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
John Lineker demonstrated standard activity with 302 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, John Lineker capitalized on this activity level, while Marlon Vera's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Lineker | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 208 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -13 |
John Lineker started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marlon Vera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Lineker | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 141 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.