John Lineker vs Michael McDonald

July 12, 2016

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1241
(+41)
John Lineker
Winner: John Lineker
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:43

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

John Lineker+41
Michael McDonald-29
1093
(-29)
Michael McDonald

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +27Michael McDonald: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerMichael McDonald
Total UFC Fights119
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 1901 084
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

John Lineker's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Lineker for the expected result. Had Michael McDonald pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +19Michael McDonald: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerMichael McDonald
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1281 054
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +69Michael McDonald: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerMichael McDonald
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:432:43
Win Type ELO1 3871 190
ELO Change+69-31
💡

What Happened

John Lineker earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:43, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +68Michael McDonald: -68

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerMichael McDonald
Significant Strikes Landed2614
Significant Strikes Attempted5530
Total Strikes Landed2814
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 4291 107
ELO Change+68-68
💡

What Happened

John Lineker dominated the striking exchanges with 26 vs 14 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. John Lineker capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +36Michael McDonald: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerMichael McDonald
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:080:00
Ground Strikes Landed60
Ground ELO1 2451 057
ELO Change+36-36
💡

What Happened

John Lineker landed 2 knockdowns followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +53Michael McDonald: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerMichael McDonald
Days Since Last Fight60193
Activity ELO1 2471 122
ELO Change+53-18
💡

What Happened

John Lineker demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 60 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, John Lineker capitalized on this activity level, while Michael McDonald's 193-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +35Michael McDonald: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerMichael McDonald
Win Streak50
Win Streak ELO1 1751 075
ELO Change+35-18
💡

What Happened

John Lineker continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Michael McDonald's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +19Michael McDonald: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerMichael McDonald
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1281 054
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.