John Lineker vs Phil Harris

October 25, 2013

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1123
(+41)
John Lineker
Winner: John Lineker
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:51

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

John Lineker+41
Phil Harris-31
972
(-31)
Phil Harris

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +27Phil Harris: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerPhil Harris
Total UFC Fights53
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 084979
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

John Lineker's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Lineker for the expected result. Had Phil Harris pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +19Phil Harris: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerPhil Harris
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 058982
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +58Phil Harris: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerPhil Harris
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:512:51
Win Type ELO1 202978
ELO Change+58-26
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What Happened

John Lineker earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:51, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +76Phil Harris: -76

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerPhil Harris
Significant Strikes Landed3114
Significant Strikes Attempted6838
Total Strikes Landed3414
Knockdowns Scored30
Striking ELO1 285918
ELO Change+76-76
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What Happened

John Lineker dominated the striking exchanges with 34 vs 14 total strikes, 31 vs 14 significant strikes, 45.6% vs 36.8% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. John Lineker capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +46Phil Harris: -46

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerPhil Harris
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:040:00
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 079943
ELO Change+46-46
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +51Phil Harris: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerPhil Harris
Days Since Last Fight84252
Activity ELO1 1391 005
ELO Change+51-17
💡

What Happened

John Lineker demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, John Lineker capitalized on this activity level, while Phil Harris's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +25Phil Harris: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerPhil Harris
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 075985
ELO Change+25-18
💡

What Happened

John Lineker extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phil Harris is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
John Lineker: +19Phil Harris: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJohn LinekerPhil Harris
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 058982
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.