October 25, 2013
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Lineker | Phil Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 084 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
John Lineker's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Lineker for the expected result. Had Phil Harris pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | John Lineker | Phil Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 058 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Lineker | Phil Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:51 | 2:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 202 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -26 |
John Lineker earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:51, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | John Lineker | Phil Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 3 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 285 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
John Lineker dominated the striking exchanges with 34 vs 14 total strikes, 31 vs 14 significant strikes, 45.6% vs 36.8% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. John Lineker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Lineker | Phil Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 079 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | John Lineker | Phil Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 1 139 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -17 |
John Lineker demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, John Lineker capitalized on this activity level, while Phil Harris's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Lineker | Phil Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 075 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -18 |
John Lineker extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phil Harris is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Lineker | Phil Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 058 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

