December 29, 2016
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Lineker | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 196 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (13 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | John Lineker | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 132 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Lineker | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 363 | 1 507 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
TJ Dillashaw earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | John Lineker | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 119 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 177 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 402 | 1 517 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
TJ Dillashaw dominated the striking exchanges with 177 vs 51 total strikes, 71 vs 38 significant strikes, 59.7% vs 42.2% accuracy. TJ Dillashaw capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Lineker | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:18 | 6:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 46 |
| Ground ELO | 1 207 | 1 471 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
TJ Dillashaw dominated John Lineker on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 6:53 of control time, 46 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Lineker | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 271 | 1 327 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
TJ Dillashaw demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, TJ Dillashaw capitalized on this activity level, while John Lineker's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Lineker | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 194 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +28 |
TJ Dillashaw extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Lineker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Lineker | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 125 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.