November 4, 2011
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Maguire | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 070 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
John Maguire overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Justin Edwards.
| Metric | John Maguire | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Maguire | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 046 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
John Maguire earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | John Maguire | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 027 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
John Maguire edged the striking exchanges with 70 vs 45 total strikes, 71.1% vs 43.8% accuracy. John Maguire capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Maguire | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:16 | 1:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 083 | 920 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
John Maguire controlled Justin Edwards on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 9:16 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Maguire | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 50 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
John Maguire demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, John Maguire capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Edwards's 50-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Maguire | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
John Maguire started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Edwards is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Maguire | Justin Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.